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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.13+7.05vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.25+5.67vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.47+3.86vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College3.56+2.66vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.67vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.85+3.52vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.61-0.63vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.27-0.37vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.66+4.64vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.60-3.59vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.63+2.59vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.52-1.51vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.72-3.03vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.16-5.73vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.19-3.20vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University2.63-5.79vs Predicted
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17Roger Williams University3.71-10.82vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.05Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.67Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.86Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.66Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.52Boston College2.850.0%1st Place
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6.37Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.63Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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13.64Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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6.41Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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13.59Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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10.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.520.0%1st Place
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9.97University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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8.27Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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11.8University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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10.21Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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6.18Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Cook | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.3% | 10.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 3.4% |
| Henry Dumke | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 2.6% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 11.6% | 18.3% | 29.1% |
| Nick Sertl | 10.6% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 16.3% | 32.7% |
| Harrison Vandervort | 3.3% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 4.5% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Craig | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 11.8% |
| Sam Shannon | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.6% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.4% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.