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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.13+7.00vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.71+3.96vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.61+3.46vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.85+5.37vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.60+1.35vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.27+1.89vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.25+0.80vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.63vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.19+3.00vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.47-3.18vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.16-2.70vs Predicted
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12Salve Regina University2.63-1.83vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.72-3.02vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College3.56-7.28vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.63-1.48vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.52-5.44vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.66-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.0Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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5.96Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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6.46Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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9.37Boston College2.850.0%1st Place
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6.35Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.89Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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7.8Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.63Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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12.0University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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6.82Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.3Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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10.17Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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6.72Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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13.52Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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10.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.520.0%1st Place
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13.49Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Cook | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 9.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Henry Dumke | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% |
| Benjamin Craig | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 15.1% | 12.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Sam Shannon | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 4.4% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 17.9% | 31.1% |
| Harrison Vandervort | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 6.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 10.9% | 17.2% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.