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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.60+5.29vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.61+4.28vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.71+3.04vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.27+3.77vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.66vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.25+1.97vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.85+2.37vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.13+0.04vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.47-1.93vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.52+0.47vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.56-4.24vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.72-2.16vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.63-2.73vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.16-5.72vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.66-1.61vs Predicted
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16Washington College1.63-2.34vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.19-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.29Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.28Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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6.04Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.77Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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9.66Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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7.97Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.37Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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8.04Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.07Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.47University of California at Santa Barbara2.520.0%1st Place
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6.76Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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9.84University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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10.27Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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8.28Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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13.39Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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13.66Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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11.85University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.0% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 3.6% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Henry Dumke | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 2.1% |
| Brendan Cook | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 9.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Harrison Vandervort | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.6% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.1% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% |
| Sam Shannon | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 0.8% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 18.4% | 28.6% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.6% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 31.3% |
| Benjamin Craig | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 13.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.