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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.61+5.25vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.27+5.56vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University2.63+7.15vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.60+2.57vs Predicted
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5Tufts University3.47+1.77vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.13+2.40vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+2.80vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.72+1.63vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.71-2.76vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.25-2.37vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.85-1.49vs Predicted
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12Bowdoin College3.56-5.37vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.16-4.78vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.66-0.41vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.63-1.50vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.52-5.33vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont2.19-5.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.25Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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7.56Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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10.15Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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6.57Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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6.77Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.4Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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9.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.63University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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6.24Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.63Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.51Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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6.63Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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8.22Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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13.59Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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13.5Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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10.67University of California at Santa Barbara2.520.0%1st Place
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11.88University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 11.5% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Sam Shannon | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 4.6% |
| Nick Sertl | 10.3% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Scott Barbano | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Cook | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Joseph Paggi | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 3.2% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 8.2% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Henry Dumke | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 2.5% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| Kurran Singh | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 17.6% | 30.3% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 7.9% | 9.8% | 16.9% | 30.6% |
| Harrison Vandervort | 3.0% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% |
| Benjamin Craig | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 13.9% | 13.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.