← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Dartmouth College3.61+5.23vs Predicted
-
2University of Rhode Island2.72+7.78vs Predicted
-
3Harvard University3.60+3.47vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.27+3.71vs Predicted
-
5Salve Regina University2.63+4.99vs Predicted
-
6Boston University3.13+2.40vs Predicted
-
7Boston College2.85+2.34vs Predicted
-
8Yale University3.25-0.34vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University3.47-1.93vs Predicted
-
10University of California at Santa Barbara2.52+0.46vs Predicted
-
11Fordham University3.16-2.68vs Predicted
-
12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-2.17vs Predicted
-
13Northeastern University1.66+0.54vs Predicted
-
14Roger Williams University3.71-7.87vs Predicted
-
15Bowdoin College3.56-8.46vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont2.19-4.09vs Predicted
-
17Washington College1.63-3.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.23Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
-
9.78University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
-
6.47Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
7.71Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
-
9.99Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
-
8.4Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
9.34Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
-
7.66Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
-
7.07Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
10.46University of California at Santa Barbara2.520.0%1st Place
-
8.32Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
-
9.83Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
13.54Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
-
6.13Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
6.54Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
-
11.91University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
-
13.62Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Lalumiere | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.2% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% |
| Nick Sertl | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Sam Shannon | 2.7% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 4.7% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% |
| Henry Dumke | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 1.8% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Scott Barbano | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Harrison Vandervort | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Joseph Paggi | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 3.9% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 19.2% | 29.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 9.8% | 11.3% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Benjamin Craig | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 12.0% | 13.8% | 11.9% |
| Alexander Smith | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 10.6% | 16.7% | 32.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.