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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University0.97+3.33vs Predicted
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2Tufts University0.38+5.26vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18+6.71vs Predicted
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4Brown University0.79+1.42vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.08-0.07vs Predicted
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6Tufts University-0.25+3.54vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island0.70+0.82vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont-0.02+0.52vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College-0.25+0.68vs Predicted
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10Harvard University-0.63+1.06vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College0.47-4.06vs Predicted
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12Boston University-0.96+0.21vs Predicted
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13University of New Hampshire-0.93-1.29vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire-1.41-0.24vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University-0.47-4.61vs Predicted
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16McGill University-1.59-1.66vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University0.01-8.29vs Predicted
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18Amherst College-1.69-3.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.33Boston University0.9718.1%1st Place
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7.26Tufts University0.388.0%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.184.0%1st Place
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5.42Brown University0.7911.8%1st Place
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4.93Brown University1.0814.6%1st Place
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9.54Tufts University-0.254.2%1st Place
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7.82University of Rhode Island0.706.3%1st Place
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8.52University of Vermont-0.025.0%1st Place
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9.68Bowdoin College-0.253.2%1st Place
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11.06Harvard University-0.632.3%1st Place
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6.94Bowdoin College0.477.0%1st Place
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12.21Boston University-0.961.5%1st Place
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11.71University of New Hampshire-0.931.9%1st Place
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13.76University of New Hampshire-1.411.1%1st Place
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10.39Northeastern University-0.473.8%1st Place
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14.34McGill University-1.590.9%1st Place
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8.71Northeastern University0.015.1%1st Place
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14.65Amherst College-1.690.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elliott Mendenhall | 18.1% | 15.7% | 15.7% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Harry Kaya Prager | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Lucas Escandon | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 1.3% |
| Grace Ivancich | 11.8% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julian Dahiya | 14.6% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greta Traver | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| John Mason | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| William Denker | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Owen Warren | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Sarra Guezguez | 2.3% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 3.4% |
| Riley Donahue | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas David | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.0% |
| Lucas Wiatrowski | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Devyn Weed | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 17.2% | 18.1% |
| Gabrielle Ahitow | 3.8% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 2.7% |
| Isabelle Ouimet | 0.9% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 13.0% | 16.9% | 26.0% |
| Isabella Cho | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Adrian Whitney | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 17.1% | 31.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.