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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Vermont3.11+7.44vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin4.10+3.18vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+3.00vs Predicted
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4SUNY Maritime College3.06+4.90vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy4.09+0.23vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.07+3.00vs Predicted
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7Boston University4.07-1.64vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.73+1.91vs Predicted
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9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-0.89vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-4.61vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.32+0.62vs Predicted
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12Columbia University2.87-2.49vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University2.92-3.51vs Predicted
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14University of Florida2.84-4.20vs Predicted
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15McGill University1.53-1.23vs Predicted
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16Princeton University1.74-2.61vs Predicted
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17University of Connecticut1.53-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.44University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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5.18University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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6.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.9SUNY Maritime College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.23U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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9.0Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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5.36Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.91Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
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5.39St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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11.62Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.51Columbia University2.870.0%1st Place
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9.49Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.8University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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13.77McGill University1.530.0%1st Place
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13.39Princeton University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.9University of Connecticut1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quentin Chafee | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 13.2% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 10.4% | 9.6% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.3% |
| Clark Hayes | 13.0% | 13.6% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| George Saunders | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% |
| Ben Greenfield | 12.2% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 3.2% |
| Nick Aswad | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Fletcher Sims | 12.0% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Blair Davis | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 8.0% |
| Brendan Hannon | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 0.7% |
| Zach Runci | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 1.4% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Mark Abraao York | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 11.3% | 18.2% | 30.2% |
| John Marzulli | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 12.9% | 18.0% | 21.0% |
| Colin Silveno | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 10.5% | 18.9% | 29.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.