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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University3.60+5.21vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.27+5.52vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.47+3.78vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.80+5.40vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.61+1.14vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.71+0.09vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+0.59vs Predicted
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8Yale University3.25-0.52vs Predicted
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9Washington College1.63+4.56vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.63-0.10vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont1.72+2.19vs Predicted
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12Fordham University3.16-4.00vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.72-3.15vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.85-4.66vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.66-1.69vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.52-5.52vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.13-8.84vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.21Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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7.52Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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6.78Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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9.4Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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6.14Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.59Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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7.48Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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13.56Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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9.9Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
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13.19University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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8.0Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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9.85University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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9.34Boston College2.850.0%1st Place
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13.31Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.48University of California at Santa Barbara2.520.0%1st Place
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8.16Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Sertl | 11.2% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nathan Allman | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 9.4% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Matthew Lyons | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Martim Anderson | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| David Larson | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 19.4% | 27.7% |
| Sam Shannon | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 3.5% |
| Mike Kanare | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 18.8% | 25.4% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 3.4% |
| Henry Dumke | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 2.1% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 13.2% | 17.1% | 26.4% |
| Harrison Vandervort | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 4.9% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.