← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University3.16+6.78vs Predicted
-
2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27+5.46vs Predicted
-
3Tufts University3.47+3.75vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.27+3.57vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.61+1.19vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University3.60+0.50vs Predicted
-
7Yale University3.25+0.64vs Predicted
-
8Roger Williams University3.71-2.12vs Predicted
-
9Boston University3.13-0.77vs Predicted
-
10Washington College1.63+3.42vs Predicted
-
11Boston College2.85-1.69vs Predicted
-
12University of Rhode Island2.72-2.35vs Predicted
-
13Bowdoin College2.80-3.50vs Predicted
-
14University of Vermont1.72-0.71vs Predicted
-
15Salve Regina University2.63-5.05vs Predicted
-
16University of California at Santa Barbara2.52-5.51vs Predicted
-
17Northeastern University1.66-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.78Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
-
7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
-
6.75Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
-
7.57Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
-
6.19Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
-
6.5Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
-
7.64Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
-
5.88Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
-
8.23Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
-
13.42Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
-
9.31Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
-
9.65University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
-
9.5Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
-
13.29University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
-
9.95Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
-
10.49University of California at Santa Barbara2.520.0%1st Place
-
13.4Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Roberto Stevens | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| David Larson | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.0% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Martim Anderson | 12.5% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Cook | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 17.3% | 25.6% |
| Henry Dumke | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.3% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 3.2% |
| Matthew Lyons | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.7% |
| Mike Kanare | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 18.8% | 24.7% |
| Sam Shannon | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.2% |
| Harrison Vandervort | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 7.8% | 5.7% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 19.7% | 26.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.