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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University3.13+6.90vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.25+5.50vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.47+3.73vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.61+2.35vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.80+4.13vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.60+0.52vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.16+1.03vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.71-2.08vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.27-1.26vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.85-0.97vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.27-3.25vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.66+1.34vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont1.72+0.28vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.52-3.44vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.63-1.63vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.72-6.21vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.63-6.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.9Boston University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.5Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.73Tufts University3.470.1%1st Place
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6.35Dartmouth College3.610.1%1st Place
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9.13Bowdoin College2.800.0%1st Place
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6.52Harvard University3.600.1%1st Place
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8.03Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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5.92Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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7.74Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.270.1%1st Place
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9.03Boston College2.850.0%1st Place
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7.75Brown University3.270.1%1st Place
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13.34Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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13.28University of Vermont1.720.0%1st Place
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10.56University of California at Santa Barbara2.520.0%1st Place
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13.37Washington College1.630.0%1st Place
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9.79University of Rhode Island2.720.0%1st Place
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10.07Salve Regina University2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Cook | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Scott Barbano | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Charles Lalumiere | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Lyons | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 2.3% |
| Nick Sertl | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Roberto Stevens | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 0.3% |
| Martim Anderson | 12.6% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| David Larson | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Henry Dumke | 4.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 3.6% | 2.4% |
| Nathan Allman | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 11.3% | 18.4% | 26.6% |
| Mike Kanare | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 18.6% | 24.3% |
| Harrison Vandervort | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 4.1% |
| Alexander Smith | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 11.8% | 16.6% | 28.1% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.4% |
| Sam Shannon | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.