← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.13+6.02vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University3.04+5.40vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College2.43+6.90vs Predicted
-
4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+3.98vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.35+1.26vs Predicted
-
6Roger Williams University3.73-0.75vs Predicted
-
7University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+4.21vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.96-0.33vs Predicted
-
9Brown University3.03-1.28vs Predicted
-
10Dartmouth College3.19-3.09vs Predicted
-
11Northeastern University1.29+2.79vs Predicted
-
12Boston University2.51-2.44vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island3.09-5.55vs Predicted
-
14Salve Regina University2.21-3.12vs Predicted
-
15University of Vermont2.70-6.16vs Predicted
-
16Fordham University1.87-3.96vs Predicted
-
17Washington College1.52-3.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.02Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
-
7.4Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
-
9.9Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
-
7.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
-
6.26Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
-
5.25Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
-
11.21University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
-
7.67Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
-
7.72Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
-
6.91Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
-
13.79Northeastern University1.290.0%1st Place
-
9.56Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
-
7.45University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
-
10.88Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
-
8.84University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
-
12.04Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
-
13.11Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Casey Gowrie | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 7.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% |
| Wade Waddell | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 13.5% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.8% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% |
| Juan Perdomo | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| James Barry | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Duncan Williford | 7.3% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Donal Ryan | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 16.0% | 35.8% |
| Reed Lorimer | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 3.8% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.3% | 5.3% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.8% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Anders Ekholm | 2.5% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 15.2% | 13.1% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 12.8% | 17.4% | 23.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.