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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Bowdoin College2.43+8.67vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.09+5.21vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.73+2.10vs Predicted
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4Tufts University3.04+3.64vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.13+2.01vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.03+1.72vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.87+5.01vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont2.70+0.68vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.51+0.79vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.21+0.63vs Predicted
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11Washington College1.52+2.15vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University1.29+1.69vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-1.61vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.96-6.07vs Predicted
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15Boston College3.35-8.66vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.19-8.97vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-8.99vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.67Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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7.21University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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5.1Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.64Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.01Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.72Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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12.01Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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9.79Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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10.63Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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13.15Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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13.69Northeastern University1.290.0%1st Place
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11.39University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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7.93Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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6.34Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.03Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.01Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Vasiliou | 4.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Connor Corgard | 13.9% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Casey Gowrie | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| James Barry | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Anders Ekholm | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 10.3% | 13.1% | 14.3% | 12.4% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 6.1% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 5.9% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 2.0% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 16.4% | 27.2% |
| Donal Ryan | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 17.2% | 33.4% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 10.6% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.0% |
| Juan Perdomo | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Wade Waddell | 11.3% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.