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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University3.04+6.30vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.13+5.08vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.96+4.82vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.03+3.63vs Predicted
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5Roger Williams University3.73+0.01vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.21+4.92vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont2.70+1.84vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.51+1.38vs Predicted
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9University of Rhode Island3.09-1.53vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.19-3.12vs Predicted
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11Boston College3.35-4.50vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-4.10vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.29+0.82vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.87-1.87vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-3.78vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.43-6.05vs Predicted
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17Washington College1.52-3.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.08Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.82Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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7.63Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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5.01Roger Williams University3.730.2%1st Place
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10.92Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.84University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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9.38Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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6.88Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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6.5Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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13.82Northeastern University1.290.0%1st Place
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12.13Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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11.22University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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9.95Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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13.13Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Gowrie | 8.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Juan Perdomo | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| James Barry | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Connor Corgard | 15.8% | 14.1% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 7.0% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Reed Lorimer | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.8% |
| Dakota Northrup | 5.8% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Wade Waddell | 11.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.8% |
| Donal Ryan | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 11.4% | 17.0% | 33.4% |
| Anders Ekholm | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 14.6% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 8.2% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 11.5% | 16.9% | 24.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.