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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+6.67vs Predicted
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2Tufts University3.04+5.47vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.09+4.32vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.13+3.23vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.19+1.80vs Predicted
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6Washington College1.52+7.19vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.35-0.65vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93-0.24vs Predicted
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9University of Vermont2.70+0.05vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+1.20vs Predicted
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11Fordham University1.87+0.96vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.73-6.85vs Predicted
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13Brown University3.03-5.31vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.51-4.29vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University2.21-4.27vs Predicted
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16Bowdoin College2.43-6.05vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.29-3.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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7.47Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.32University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.23Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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6.8Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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13.19Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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6.35Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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7.76Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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9.05University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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11.2University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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11.96Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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5.15Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.69Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.71Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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10.73Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.95Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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13.77Northeastern University1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Perdomo | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Casey Gowrie | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Duncan Williford | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 12.1% | 16.3% | 25.0% |
| Wade Waddell | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.9% |
| Anders Ekholm | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 14.1% |
| Connor Corgard | 13.8% | 15.6% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 7.7% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Reed Lorimer | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 2.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 7.4% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Donal Ryan | 0.7% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 10.8% | 18.0% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.