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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.96+6.67vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.35+4.28vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.73+2.09vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.03+3.67vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+2.77vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+1.52vs Predicted
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7Washington College1.52+6.03vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+2.99vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.43+1.07vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.19-3.13vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.29+2.77vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.51-2.41vs Predicted
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13Tufts University3.04-5.28vs Predicted
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14Fordham University1.87-1.91vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.13-7.85vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont2.70-7.09vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University2.21-6.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.67Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.09Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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7.67Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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7.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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7.52University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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13.03Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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10.99University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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10.07Bowdoin College2.430.0%1st Place
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6.87Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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13.77Northeastern University1.290.0%1st Place
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9.59Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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7.72Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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12.09Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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7.15Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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8.91University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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10.81Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Juan Perdomo | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.3% |
| Wade Waddell | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 14.2% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Barry | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Dakota Northrup | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.9% | 18.4% | 22.2% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 8.8% |
| Alexander Vasiliou | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| Donal Ryan | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 15.0% | 35.9% |
| Reed Lorimer | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 4.1% |
| Casey Gowrie | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Anders Ekholm | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 13.2% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 1.6% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 6.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.