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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.97+4.38vs Predicted
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2University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+3.31vs Predicted
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3Fairfield University0.42+1.19vs Predicted
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4Middlebury College0.03+1.40vs Predicted
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5Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31+4.12vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.41-1.46vs Predicted
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7Bates College-0.70-0.26vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-0.78-0.33vs Predicted
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9University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-1.18vs Predicted
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10Olin College of Engineering0.22-5.27vs Predicted
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11Brandeis University-0.66-3.71vs Predicted
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12Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.70-2.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Salve Regina University0.978.9%1st Place
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5.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0211.5%1st Place
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4.19Fairfield University0.4217.7%1st Place
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5.4Middlebury College0.0310.2%1st Place
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9.12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.312.5%1st Place
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4.54McGill University0.4114.8%1st Place
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6.74Bates College-0.705.5%1st Place
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7.67Bentley University-0.785.1%1st Place
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7.82University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.973.8%1st Place
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4.73Olin College of Engineering0.2213.8%1st Place
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7.29Brandeis University-0.665.0%1st Place
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9.83Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.701.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 8.9% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| William Delong | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| Nolan Cooper | 17.7% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Walter Chiles | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 19.6% | 25.1% |
| Genevieve Lau | 14.8% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Colby Green | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 3.8% |
| Andrew Blagden | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.7% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 8.6% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 10.4% |
| James Jagielski | 13.8% | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Myles Hazen | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 13.0% | 11.6% | 6.3% |
| Alexander Tucker | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 17.5% | 41.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.