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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston University4.07+4.23vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.11+6.65vs Predicted
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3University of Wisconsin4.10+2.28vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+2.06vs Predicted
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5SUNY Maritime College3.06+3.72vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-0.43vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.92+2.41vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.73+1.90vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.07+0.03vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-2.15vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.32+0.60vs Predicted
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12University of Florida2.84-2.44vs Predicted
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13Princeton University1.74+0.38vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.53-0.07vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy4.09-9.74vs Predicted
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16Columbia University2.87-6.38vs Predicted
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17McGill University1.53-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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8.65University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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5.28University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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6.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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8.72SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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5.57St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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9.41Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.9Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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9.03Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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7.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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11.6Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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9.56University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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13.38Princeton University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.93University of Connecticut1.530.0%1st Place
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5.26U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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9.62Columbia University2.870.0%1st Place
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13.96McGill University1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Greenfield | 14.5% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 11.8% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Fletcher Sims | 11.4% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Zach Runci | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 1.3% |
| Alexander Sachs | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 6.7% | 2.2% |
| George Saunders | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Nick Aswad | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Blair Davis | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 13.7% | 12.6% | 7.2% |
| Max Famiglietti | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| John Marzulli | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 13.1% | 18.8% | 21.7% |
| Colin Silveno | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 12.6% | 19.8% | 29.1% |
| Clark Hayes | 14.1% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Brendan Hannon | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Mark Abraao York | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 10.8% | 19.0% | 30.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.