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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.13+6.15vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.19+5.04vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.03+4.71vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.21+6.97vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.29+5.45vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.73-0.60vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+1.10vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.51+1.57vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.96-0.80vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.35-3.60vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.06+0.53vs Predicted
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12Washington College1.52+1.31vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.70-3.84vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.35-3.49vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.09-7.53vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.04-8.21vs Predicted
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17Fordham University1.87-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.71Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.97Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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10.45Bowdoin College2.290.0%1st Place
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5.4Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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9.57Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
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8.2Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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6.4Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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11.53University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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13.31Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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9.16University of Vermont2.700.1%1st Place
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10.51Northeastern University2.350.0%1st Place
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7.47University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.79Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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12.25Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicolas Hernandez | 9.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Duncan Williford | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| James Barry | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 9.6% |
| Jack Fullerton | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 13.2% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.2% |
| Reed Lorimer | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 4.8% |
| Juan Perdomo | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Wade Waddell | 10.1% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 15.0% | 12.0% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 13.0% | 32.9% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.3% |
| Robert Rose | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 5.2% |
| Dakota Northrup | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Casey Gowrie | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 11.6% | 15.7% | 17.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.