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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.35+5.33vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.73+3.09vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+5.06vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.13+3.46vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.96+2.85vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.09+1.63vs Predicted
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7Tufts University3.04+0.69vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.19-0.98vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.21+2.10vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.03-2.42vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.35-0.49vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara2.06-0.56vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.29-2.25vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.70-4.77vs Predicted
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15Washington College1.52-1.78vs Predicted
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16Fordham University1.87-3.79vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.51-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.33Boston College3.350.1%1st Place
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5.09Roger Williams University3.730.1%1st Place
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8.06Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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7.46Yale University3.130.1%1st Place
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7.85Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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7.63University of Rhode Island3.090.1%1st Place
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7.69Tufts University3.040.1%1st Place
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7.02Dartmouth College3.190.1%1st Place
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11.1Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.58Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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10.51Northeastern University2.350.0%1st Place
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11.44University of California at Santa Barbara2.060.0%1st Place
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10.75Bowdoin College2.290.0%1st Place
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9.23University of Vermont2.700.0%1st Place
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13.22Washington College1.520.0%1st Place
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12.21Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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9.84Boston University2.510.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wade Waddell | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Connor Corgard | 14.4% | 13.4% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% |
| Nicolas Hernandez | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 0.9% |
| Juan Perdomo | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 1.5% |
| Dakota Northrup | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Casey Gowrie | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Duncan Williford | 9.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 8.7% |
| James Barry | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.5% |
| Robert Rose | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% |
| Olivia Godfrey | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 13.7% | 11.8% |
| Jack Fullerton | 3.1% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% |
| Jan Kite-Powell | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.2% | 2.6% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 14.1% | 31.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 2.3% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 13.9% | 16.6% |
| Reed Lorimer | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.