← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.87+10.45vs Predicted
-
2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+4.89vs Predicted
-
3Yale University4.08+3.37vs Predicted
-
4Boston College4.12+2.15vs Predicted
-
5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+4.71vs Predicted
-
6Old Dominion University2.91+5.41vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.55+6.24vs Predicted
-
8U. S. Naval Academy3.67-0.27vs Predicted
-
9Tufts University2.82+2.51vs Predicted
-
10Georgetown University3.51-1.37vs Predicted
-
11University of Miami2.08+3.78vs Predicted
-
12University of Virginia1.63+4.46vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University3.25-2.86vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-4.91vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.38-1.53vs Predicted
-
16George Washington University3.49-7.33vs Predicted
-
17SUNY Maritime College2.69-4.89vs Predicted
-
18Dartmouth College3.39-8.80vs Predicted
-
19University of Wisconsin2.08-4.41vs Predicted
-
20University of South Florida3.59-11.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
11.45University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
-
6.89St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
-
6.37Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
-
6.15Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
-
9.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
-
11.41Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
-
13.24Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
-
7.73U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
-
11.51Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
-
8.63Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
-
14.78University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
-
16.46University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
-
10.14Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
-
9.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
-
13.47Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
-
8.67George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
-
12.11SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
-
9.2Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
-
14.59University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
-
8.4University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drew Gallagher | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 10.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.4% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Raul Rios | 10.7% | 12.8% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Joseph David | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Martina Sly | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 6.3% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 2.2% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Max Thompson | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 15.8% | 15.7% |
| Alexander Singh | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 10.0% | 15.6% | 35.9% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Dylan Farrell | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 8.8% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 14.4% | 15.2% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.