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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+5.91vs Predicted
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2Boston College4.12+4.08vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.49+5.80vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia1.63+12.29vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.39+4.07vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.51+2.66vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.08-0.52vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.91+3.04vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.25+0.65vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.38+3.63vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-1.79vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.87-0.26vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.55+0.24vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy3.67-6.17vs Predicted
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15Tufts University2.82-3.34vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida3.59-7.80vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin2.08-2.35vs Predicted
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18SUNY Maritime College2.69-5.67vs Predicted
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19University of Miami2.08-4.38vs Predicted
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20Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-10.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.91St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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6.08Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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8.8George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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16.29University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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9.07Dartmouth College3.390.0%1st Place
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8.66Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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6.48Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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11.04Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
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9.65Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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13.63Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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11.74University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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13.24Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.83U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.66Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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8.2University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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14.65University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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12.33SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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14.62University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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9.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Raul Rios | 12.4% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Singh | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 9.3% | 14.9% | 34.3% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 5.5% | 8.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Ian Barrows | 9.2% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.4% |
| Martina Sly | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 6.8% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Sean Cornell | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 11.6% | 14.8% | 15.4% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.4% |
| Max Thompson | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 14.7% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 1.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.