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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.55+11.85vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.39+7.13vs Predicted
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3University of Virginia1.63+13.29vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.59+4.29vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.08+1.19vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+0.94vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.67+1.18vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania2.87+3.27vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College2.69+3.21vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.93vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.49-2.22vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.91-0.47vs Predicted
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13Boston College4.12-6.61vs Predicted
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14University of Miami2.08+0.71vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.08-0.32vs Predicted
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16Tufts University2.82-4.33vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.25-7.39vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-8.06vs Predicted
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19Georgetown University3.51-10.46vs Predicted
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20Harvard University2.38-6.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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12.85Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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9.13Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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16.29University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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8.29University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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6.19Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.94St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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11.27University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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12.21SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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8.78George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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11.53Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
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6.39Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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14.71University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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14.68University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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11.67Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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9.61Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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9.94Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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8.54Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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13.73Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Martina Sly | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 14.4% | 35.4% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.6% |
| Ian Barrows | 11.5% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Snow | 5.7% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Drew Gallagher | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 3.5% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Joseph David | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.5% |
| Raul Rios | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Max Thompson | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 14.5% | 16.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 14.7% | 18.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Eddie Cox | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 7.7% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Farrell | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 12.1% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.