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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.08+5.22vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+4.92vs Predicted
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3George Washington University3.49+5.84vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.38+9.53vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida3.59+3.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+3.24vs Predicted
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7Boston College4.12-0.72vs Predicted
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8Stanford University2.55+4.66vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.67-1.24vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.51-1.31vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.82+0.83vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia1.63+4.39vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.39-3.56vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.91-2.82vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.69-2.80vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.08-1.31vs Predicted
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17Fordham University3.25-7.37vs Predicted
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18University of Miami2.08-3.17vs Predicted
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19Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24-9.21vs Predicted
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20University of Pennsylvania2.87-8.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.22Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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6.92St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.84George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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13.53Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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8.21University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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6.28Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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12.66Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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7.76U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.69Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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11.83Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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16.39University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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9.44Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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11.18Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
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12.2SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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14.69University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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9.63Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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14.83University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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9.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.1%1st Place
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11.67University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ian Barrows | 12.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 9.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Dylan Farrell | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.9% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Raul Rios | 10.4% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Martina Sly | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% |
| Patrick Snow | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% |
| Alexander Singh | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 15.4% | 35.5% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Joseph David | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.4% |
| Kyle Comerford | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 4.1% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 15.8% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Max Thompson | 2.0% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 16.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Drew Gallagher | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.