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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.97+4.36vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.42+2.26vs Predicted
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3Olin College of Engineering0.22+1.88vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.41+0.59vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.03+0.46vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-0.69vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.78+0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-0.22vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31-0.07vs Predicted
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10Brandeis University-0.66-2.64vs Predicted
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11Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.70-1.28vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.70-5.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.36Salve Regina University0.9710.6%1st Place
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4.26Fairfield University0.4215.8%1st Place
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4.88Olin College of Engineering0.2212.5%1st Place
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4.59McGill University0.4115.0%1st Place
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5.46Middlebury College0.0310.1%1st Place
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5.31University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0211.5%1st Place
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7.63Bentley University-0.784.2%1st Place
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7.78University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.973.6%1st Place
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8.93Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.312.9%1st Place
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7.36Brandeis University-0.665.2%1st Place
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9.72Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.701.9%1st Place
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6.72Bates College-0.706.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 10.6% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| Nolan Cooper | 15.8% | 14.8% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| James Jagielski | 12.5% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Genevieve Lau | 15.0% | 13.5% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Walter Chiles | 10.1% | 9.5% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| William Delong | 11.5% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Blagden | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 8.6% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 14.2% | 11.8% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 19.2% | 24.1% |
| Myles Hazen | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 7.3% |
| Alexander Tucker | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 9.6% | 18.0% | 39.6% |
| Colby Green | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 4.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.