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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.49+7.66vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.69+10.30vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.67+5.01vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida3.59+4.22vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland3.91+1.88vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.51+2.60vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.91+4.62vs Predicted
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8Yale University4.08-1.94vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.24+0.67vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-0.87vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.55+1.88vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.87-0.23vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College3.39-3.59vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.25-4.24vs Predicted
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15Boston College4.12-8.83vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia1.63+0.18vs Predicted
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17University of Miami2.08-2.40vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.82-6.27vs Predicted
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19University of Wisconsin2.08-4.36vs Predicted
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20Harvard University2.38-6.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.66George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.3SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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8.01U. S. Naval Academy3.670.1%1st Place
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8.22University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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6.88St. Mary's College of Maryland3.910.1%1st Place
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8.6Georgetown University3.510.1%1st Place
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11.62Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
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6.06Yale University4.080.1%1st Place
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9.67Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.240.0%1st Place
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9.13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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12.88Stanford University2.550.0%1st Place
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11.77University of Pennsylvania2.870.0%1st Place
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9.41Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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9.76Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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6.17Boston College4.120.1%1st Place
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16.18University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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14.6University of Miami2.080.0%1st Place
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11.73Tufts University2.820.0%1st Place
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14.64University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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13.71Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Patrick Snow | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sean Cornell | 7.0% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Curtiss | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Campbell D'Eliscu | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Joseph David | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 1.9% |
| Ian Barrows | 10.7% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Eddie Cox | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Martina Sly | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 6.8% |
| Drew Gallagher | 4.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Raul Rios | 12.5% | 12.8% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 14.5% | 33.7% |
| Max Thompson | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 13.2% | 15.8% |
| Jack Bitney | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 10.7% | 15.1% | 15.8% |
| Dylan Farrell | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 9.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.