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📊 Prediction Accuracy
30.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+6.24vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University3.06+7.08vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.73+3.49vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy3.22+4.39vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.52+2.13vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.72+4.64vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.24-2.16vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+5.21vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.53-1.95vs Predicted
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10Tufts University3.24-1.60vs Predicted
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11University of Pennsylvania2.80-0.73vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.54-0.47vs Predicted
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13University of Wisconsin1.56+2.42vs Predicted
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14Old Dominion University2.89-4.24vs Predicted
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15University of Virginia0.87+1.96vs Predicted
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16Stanford University3.15-7.31vs Predicted
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17SUNY Maritime College2.14-4.20vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18-5.15vs Predicted
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19University of Miami0.76-1.71vs Predicted
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20Harvard University2.42-8.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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9.08Georgetown University3.060.1%1st Place
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6.49Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.39U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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7.13Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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10.64George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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4.84Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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13.21U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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7.05Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.4Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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10.27University of Pennsylvania2.800.0%1st Place
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11.53University of South Florida2.540.0%1st Place
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15.42University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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9.76Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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16.96University of Virginia0.870.0%1st Place
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8.69Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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12.8SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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12.85Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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17.29University of Miami0.760.0%1st Place
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11.95Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Edegran | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Roger Dorr | 6.6% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.9% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Will Holz | 8.4% | 9.1% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Nicholas Baird | 13.9% | 15.9% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Austin Neuman | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 3.8% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 5.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Carolyn Keck | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 17.0% | 17.3% | 13.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Jordan Cornell | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 20.6% | 34.6% |
| William Marshall | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| John Lawless | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 2.4% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 2.2% |
| Benjamin Ringrose | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 11.4% | 19.7% | 38.1% |
| Jackson Wagner | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 1.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.