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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy4.09+4.16vs Predicted
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2University of Vermont3.11+6.57vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.92+6.34vs Predicted
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4Columbia University2.87+5.55vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+0.92vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.07+3.00vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College3.06+1.84vs Predicted
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8Boston University4.07-2.71vs Predicted
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9Fordham University2.73+1.16vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin4.10-4.82vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.32+0.59vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-6.49vs Predicted
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13U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-4.91vs Predicted
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14University of Florida2.84-4.25vs Predicted
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15University of Connecticut1.53-1.21vs Predicted
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16Princeton University1.74-2.60vs Predicted
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17McGill University1.53-3.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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8.57University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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9.34Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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9.55Columbia University2.870.0%1st Place
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5.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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9.0Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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8.84SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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5.29Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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10.16Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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5.18University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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11.59Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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5.51St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.09U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.75University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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13.79University of Connecticut1.530.0%1st Place
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13.4Princeton University1.740.0%1st Place
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13.87McGill University1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clark Hayes | 13.9% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 5.7% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.8% |
| Zach Runci | 4.0% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% |
| Brendan Hannon | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 1.7% |
| Austen Anderson | 10.4% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| George Saunders | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Tyler Steel | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 0.8% |
| Ben Greenfield | 13.8% | 13.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 2.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 11.6% | 13.4% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Blair Davis | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 11.1% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 8.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 10.9% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Aswad | 6.2% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.5% |
| Max Famiglietti | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Colin Silveno | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 17.9% | 30.4% |
| John Marzulli | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 13.6% | 18.8% | 20.5% |
| Mark Abraao York | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 19.4% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.