← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Olin College of Engineering0.22+3.82vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University0.97+3.32vs Predicted
-
3McGill University0.41+1.47vs Predicted
-
4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+1.50vs Predicted
-
5Bates College-0.70+1.70vs Predicted
-
6Middlebury College0.03-0.68vs Predicted
-
7Bentley University-0.78+0.76vs Predicted
-
8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-0.18vs Predicted
-
9Brandeis University-0.66-1.65vs Predicted
-
10Fairfield University0.42-5.80vs Predicted
-
11Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.70-1.21vs Predicted
-
12Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.82Olin College of Engineering0.2212.8%1st Place
-
5.32Salve Regina University0.9712.0%1st Place
-
4.47McGill University0.4114.2%1st Place
-
5.5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0210.0%1st Place
-
6.7Bates College-0.706.0%1st Place
-
5.32Middlebury College0.0311.3%1st Place
-
7.76Bentley University-0.784.7%1st Place
-
7.82University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.974.0%1st Place
-
7.35Brandeis University-0.664.9%1st Place
-
4.2Fairfield University0.4215.9%1st Place
-
9.79Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.701.6%1st Place
-
8.96Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.312.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Jagielski | 12.8% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 12.0% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Genevieve Lau | 14.2% | 14.4% | 14.0% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| William Delong | 10.0% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Colby Green | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 4.6% |
| Walter Chiles | 11.3% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Andrew Blagden | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 14.3% | 9.4% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 12.5% | 14.2% | 13.6% | 10.2% |
| Myles Hazen | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 11.7% | 8.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 15.9% | 16.3% | 14.1% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Tucker | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 17.2% | 40.4% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.4% | 13.3% | 20.2% | 23.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.