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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
20
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University4.24+3.68vs Predicted
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2St. Mary's College of Maryland3.49+5.30vs Predicted
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3Tufts University3.24+5.43vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.73+2.38vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.52+2.20vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University3.06+3.23vs Predicted
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7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+6.72vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.54+3.09vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.53-1.94vs Predicted
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10University of Wisconsin1.56+5.13vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College2.14+1.98vs Predicted
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12Old Dominion University2.89-2.05vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.18+0.07vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.15-5.38vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.80-4.83vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.72-5.56vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia0.87+0.06vs Predicted
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18University of Miami0.76-0.63vs Predicted
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19Harvard University2.42-7.36vs Predicted
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20U. S. Naval Academy3.22-11.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.68Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.3St. Mary's College of Maryland3.490.1%1st Place
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8.43Tufts University3.240.1%1st Place
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6.38Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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7.2Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.23Georgetown University3.060.0%1st Place
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13.72U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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11.09University of South Florida2.540.0%1st Place
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7.06Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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15.13University of Wisconsin1.560.0%1st Place
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12.98SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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9.95Old Dominion University2.890.0%1st Place
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13.07Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.180.0%1st Place
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8.62Stanford University3.150.1%1st Place
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10.17University of Pennsylvania2.800.1%1st Place
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10.44George Washington University2.720.0%1st Place
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17.06University of Virginia0.870.0%1st Place
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17.37University of Miami0.760.0%1st Place
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11.64Harvard University2.420.0%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicholas Baird | 16.8% | 14.6% | 14.7% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Markus Edegran | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cameron Holley | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.0% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roger Dorr | 3.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Austin Neuman | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 11.5% | 4.7% |
| Michael Trebilcock | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Christopher Williford | 8.1% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Keck | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 14.7% | 16.7% | 11.5% |
| John Lawless | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 2.8% |
| Jack Elkin | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Noah Barrengos Barrengos | 1.2% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 3.5% |
| William Marshall | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Floyd | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Jordan Cornell | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 6.9% | 13.8% | 18.9% | 34.2% |
| Benjamin Ringrose | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 10.9% | 20.3% | 39.3% |
| Jackson Wagner | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Peter Hogan | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.