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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ocean County College0.28+2.73vs Predicted
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2University of Delaware-0.39+2.96vs Predicted
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3Drexel University-0.19+1.60vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.10+0.19vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University0.55-1.60vs Predicted
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6University of Maryland1.00-3.30vs Predicted
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7Rutgers University-0.17-2.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.73Ocean County College0.280.2%1st Place
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4.96University of Delaware-0.390.1%1st Place
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4.6Drexel University-0.190.1%1st Place
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4.19University of Maryland/Baltimore County0.100.1%1st Place
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3.4Syracuse University0.550.2%1st Place
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2.7University of Maryland1.000.3%1st Place
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4.42Rutgers University-0.170.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Kirk | 15.8% | 15.5% | 16.2% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 13.8% | 8.1% |
| Evan Shone | 6.2% | 7.8% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 14.9% | 18.8% | 29.3% |
| Barrett Adams | 8.9% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 15.0% | 19.7% | 21.0% |
| Samuel Haksteen | 11.2% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 16.4% | 16.1% | 15.1% | 14.9% |
| Zachary Warner | 17.9% | 19.7% | 17.7% | 15.5% | 13.8% | 8.9% | 6.5% |
| Joseph Crouse | 29.5% | 23.7% | 17.7% | 13.5% | 9.1% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Edgard Sanchez | 10.5% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 15.5% | 18.8% | 18.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.