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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Middlebury College0.03+4.29vs Predicted
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2McGill University0.41+2.76vs Predicted
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3Salve Regina University0.97+2.41vs Predicted
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4Brandeis University-0.66+3.35vs Predicted
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5University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+0.44vs Predicted
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6Bates College-0.70+0.64vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering0.22-2.17vs Predicted
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8Fairfield University0.42-3.81vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.78-1.33vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31-1.07vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-3.23vs Predicted
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12Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.70-2.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.29Middlebury College0.0310.9%1st Place
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4.76McGill University0.4113.6%1st Place
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5.41Salve Regina University0.9711.0%1st Place
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7.35Brandeis University-0.664.7%1st Place
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5.44University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.029.2%1st Place
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6.64Bates College-0.706.8%1st Place
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4.83Olin College of Engineering0.2213.4%1st Place
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4.19Fairfield University0.4217.3%1st Place
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7.67Bentley University-0.784.5%1st Place
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8.93Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.312.5%1st Place
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7.77University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.974.2%1st Place
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9.74Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.701.8%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Chiles | 10.9% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Genevieve Lau | 13.6% | 13.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.0% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Myles Hazen | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.0% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 7.8% |
| William Delong | 9.2% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Colby Green | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 3.5% |
| James Jagielski | 13.4% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 17.3% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| Andrew Blagden | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 13.6% | 10.2% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 13.8% | 19.0% | 23.1% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 13.3% | 11.2% |
| Alexander Tucker | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 18.4% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.