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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.42+3.22vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.97+3.45vs Predicted
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3McGill University0.41+1.60vs Predicted
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4Bentley University-0.78+3.47vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.03+0.42vs Predicted
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6Olin College of Engineering0.22-1.17vs Predicted
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7Brandeis University-0.66+0.40vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-2.65vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31-0.11vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.70-0.29vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-3.20vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.70-5.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.22Fairfield University0.4215.8%1st Place
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5.45Salve Regina University0.9711.2%1st Place
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4.6McGill University0.4114.3%1st Place
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7.47Bentley University-0.785.1%1st Place
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5.42Middlebury College0.0310.0%1st Place
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4.83Olin College of Engineering0.2212.4%1st Place
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7.4Brandeis University-0.664.9%1st Place
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5.35University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0211.8%1st Place
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8.89Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.312.5%1st Place
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9.71Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.701.8%1st Place
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7.8University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.974.3%1st Place
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6.85Bates College-0.706.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 15.8% | 15.1% | 14.9% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 11.2% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Genevieve Lau | 14.3% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Andrew Blagden | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 9.4% |
| Walter Chiles | 10.0% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.1% |
| James Jagielski | 12.4% | 12.5% | 12.8% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Myles Hazen | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.0% | 6.8% |
| William Delong | 11.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 0.9% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 14.3% | 18.2% | 23.3% |
| Alexander Tucker | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 17.8% | 39.7% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 11.6% |
| Colby Green | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 4.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.