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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University2.73+8.81vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy4.09+3.22vs Predicted
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3University of Vermont3.11+5.64vs Predicted
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4University of Florida2.84+5.67vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.32+6.36vs Predicted
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6University of Wisconsin4.10-0.58vs Predicted
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7Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87-0.99vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-2.58vs Predicted
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9Boston University4.07-3.52vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College3.06-1.18vs Predicted
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11Old Dominion University2.92-1.49vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University3.07-3.22vs Predicted
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13University of Connecticut1.53+0.92vs Predicted
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14Princeton University1.74-0.56vs Predicted
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15Columbia University2.87-5.56vs Predicted
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16McGill University1.53-2.05vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-8.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.81Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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5.22U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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8.64University of Vermont3.110.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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11.36Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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5.42University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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6.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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5.42St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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5.48Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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8.82SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.51Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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8.78Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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13.92University of Connecticut1.530.0%1st Place
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13.44Princeton University1.740.0%1st Place
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9.44Columbia University2.870.0%1st Place
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13.95McGill University1.530.0%1st Place
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8.11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Sachs | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 2.3% |
| Clark Hayes | 14.4% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Quentin Chafee | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Max Famiglietti | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
| Blair Davis | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 7.4% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 11.1% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Austen Anderson | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 14.1% | 12.3% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ben Greenfield | 11.5% | 11.0% | 12.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Zach Runci | 4.5% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.7% | 1.2% |
| George Saunders | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Colin Silveno | 0.5% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 19.9% | 29.4% |
| John Marzulli | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 17.3% | 23.8% |
| Brendan Hannon | 3.7% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% |
| Mark Abraao York | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.7% | 21.3% | 27.9% |
| Nick Aswad | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.