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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Maryland0.56+1.30vs Predicted
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2Syracuse University0.02+0.90vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College0.23-0.36vs Predicted
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4University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.48-0.44vs Predicted
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5Rutgers University-2.20+0.44vs Predicted
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6University of Delaware-0.95-1.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.3University of Maryland0.560.3%1st Place
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2.9Syracuse University0.020.2%1st Place
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2.64Ocean County College0.230.2%1st Place
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3.56University of Maryland/Baltimore County-0.480.1%1st Place
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5.44Rutgers University-2.200.0%1st Place
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4.15University of Delaware-0.950.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alexander Johnston | 32.9% | 28.3% | 21.5% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 0.8% |
| Henry Sanders | 21.2% | 23.0% | 19.0% | 21.0% | 12.9% | 2.9% |
| Nina Van De Vaarst | 24.9% | 22.8% | 26.0% | 17.0% | 8.0% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Thompson | 12.2% | 14.3% | 16.3% | 25.9% | 24.8% | 6.5% |
| Treasa Casey | 1.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 12.9% | 73.0% |
| Martha Diezemann | 7.3% | 8.7% | 12.9% | 19.5% | 36.1% | 15.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.