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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.37+7.61vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.28vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.19+2.89vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.45+4.58vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.48+0.04vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.90+0.97vs Predicted
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7University of Rhode Island2.76+0.49vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.01+1.90vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-2.14vs Predicted
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10Harvard University3.20-4.09vs Predicted
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121.52-0.51vs Predicted
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13Washington College0.18+1.56vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.69-3.02vs Predicted
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15Eckerd College2.80-7.92vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-5.52vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.77-6.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.61Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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5.28Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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5.89Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.58Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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5.04Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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6.97Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.49University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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9.9Boston University2.010.0%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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5.91Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.491.520.0%1st Place
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14.56Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
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10.98University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.0%1st Place
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7.08Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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10.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Andersen | 3.2% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 1.6% |
| Trevor Long | 12.8% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.0% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 11.4% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 0.9% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 12.2% | 15.0% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| James Moody | 7.9% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Read | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Joseph Benoit | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 3.5% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 8.6% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.3% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ben Brown | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 12.4% | 18.4% | 11.9% |
| Mason Sheen | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 11.5% | 62.8% |
| Dylan Finestone | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 10.6% | 11.4% | 18.0% | 6.2% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 7.8% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 12.1% | 14.3% | 11.4% | 4.1% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.0% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 14.9% | 12.5% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.