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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.19+4.84vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.48+3.06vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+2.34vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+6.49vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.90+1.87vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+0.95vs Predicted
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7Eckerd College2.80+0.32vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.76-0.77vs Predicted
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9Harvard University3.20-3.15vs Predicted
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101.52+1.56vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.37-2.33vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.01-2.04vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.45-5.60vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.77-4.33vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara1.69-4.85vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.18-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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5.06Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.34Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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10.49Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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6.87Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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7.32Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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5.85Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.561.520.0%1st Place
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8.67Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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9.96Boston University2.010.0%1st Place
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8.4Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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10.67University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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11.15University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.0%1st Place
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14.65Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Simmons | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 13.8% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 13.5% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 14.6% | 5.5% |
| James Moody | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Brendan Read | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Ben Brown | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 14.9% | 18.3% | 9.7% |
| Luke Andersen | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Benoit | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 9.4% | 4.2% |
| Eric Anderson | 3.8% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 12.4% | 13.3% | 5.9% |
| Dylan Finestone | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 14.9% | 15.0% | 7.3% |
| Mason Sheen | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 12.6% | 63.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.