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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University0.97+4.38vs Predicted
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2Fairfield University0.42+2.24vs Predicted
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3Middlebury College0.03+2.28vs Predicted
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4Olin College of Engineering0.22+0.85vs Predicted
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5McGill University0.41-0.45vs Predicted
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6Brandeis University-0.66+1.23vs Predicted
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7Bentley University-0.78+0.63vs Predicted
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8University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02-2.71vs Predicted
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9Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31+0.04vs Predicted
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10Bates College-0.70-3.14vs Predicted
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11Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.70-1.13vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-4.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.38Salve Regina University0.9710.3%1st Place
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4.24Fairfield University0.4216.0%1st Place
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5.28Middlebury College0.0310.2%1st Place
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4.85Olin College of Engineering0.2213.8%1st Place
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4.55McGill University0.4114.8%1st Place
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7.23Brandeis University-0.665.3%1st Place
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7.63Bentley University-0.784.4%1st Place
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5.29University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0210.1%1st Place
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9.04Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.312.1%1st Place
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6.86Bates College-0.707.0%1st Place
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9.87Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.701.7%1st Place
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7.79University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.974.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Lowthian | 10.3% | 10.5% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 16.0% | 16.2% | 13.6% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Walter Chiles | 10.2% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| James Jagielski | 13.8% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Genevieve Lau | 14.8% | 13.7% | 12.7% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Myles Hazen | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 10.9% | 8.0% |
| Andrew Blagden | 4.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 14.5% | 12.2% | 8.7% |
| William Delong | 10.1% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 13.2% | 19.2% | 23.9% |
| Colby Green | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 4.9% |
| Alexander Tucker | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 10.4% | 18.9% | 40.6% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 11.7% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.