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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+4.23vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+4.80vs Predicted
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3Harvard University3.20+2.91vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.80+3.38vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.90+1.95vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont1.77+4.82vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.37+1.80vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.48-3.13vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.19-4.14vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.45-2.51vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.69-1.02vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.76-5.56vs Predicted
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14Boston University2.01-4.02vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-4.72vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.18-1.39vs Predicted
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171.52-5.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.23Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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5.91Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.38Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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6.95Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.82University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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8.8Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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4.87Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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5.86Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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8.49Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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10.98University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.0%1st Place
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7.44University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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9.98Boston University2.010.0%1st Place
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10.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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14.61Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
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11.621.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trevor Long | 12.4% | 13.1% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 11.8% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| James Moody | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 13.1% | 14.8% | 7.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 14.4% | 14.0% | 13.4% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Eric Anderson | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 0.9% |
| Dylan Finestone | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 6.8% |
| Brendan Read | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% |
| Joseph Benoit | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 4.1% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 4.4% |
| Mason Sheen | 0.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 64.1% |
| Ben Brown | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 18.8% | 9.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.