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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.19+4.84vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+3.32vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.48+1.96vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90+3.05vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.45+3.55vs Predicted
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6Eckerd College2.80+1.28vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.90-0.04vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.20-2.22vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont1.77+0.69vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.37-2.19vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.69-1.03vs Predicted
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131.52-1.52vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island2.76-6.69vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-4.75vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.01-5.91vs Predicted
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17Washington College0.18-2.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.84Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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5.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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4.96Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.05U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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8.55Yale University2.450.0%1st Place
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7.28Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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6.96Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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5.78Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.69University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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8.81Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.97University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.0%1st Place
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11.481.520.0%1st Place
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7.31University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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10.25Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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10.09Boston University2.010.0%1st Place
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14.65Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Simmons | 10.8% | 11.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Trevor Long | 12.5% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 15.0% | 11.6% | 13.6% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Eric Anderson | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| James Moody | 8.2% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.3% | 6.5% |
| Luke Andersen | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Dylan Finestone | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 18.1% | 6.2% |
| Ben Brown | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 18.6% | 11.4% |
| Brendan Read | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.1% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 13.1% | 9.4% | 5.0% |
| Joseph Benoit | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 3.3% |
| Mason Sheen | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 13.1% | 63.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.