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📊 Prediction Accuracy
25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.19+4.79vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.20+3.89vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.45+5.48vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37+1.46vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.90+1.88vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.01+3.04vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+2.45vs Predicted
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91.52+2.44vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.37-1.34vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-4.08vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.48-7.02vs Predicted
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13Eckerd College2.80-5.73vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.69-2.96vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.77-4.31vs Predicted
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16Washington College0.18-1.39vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island2.76-9.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.79Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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5.89Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.48Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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6.88Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.04Boston University2.010.0%1st Place
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10.45Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.441.520.0%1st Place
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8.66Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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6.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
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4.98Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.27Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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11.04University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.0%1st Place
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10.69University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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14.61Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
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7.41University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxwell Simmons | 10.4% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 11.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Eric Anderson | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Trevor Long | 11.1% | 12.9% | 11.2% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| James Moody | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Joseph Benoit | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 11.9% | 8.2% | 11.0% | 4.3% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 14.4% | 13.3% | 4.2% |
| Ben Brown | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 13.3% | 18.0% | 10.7% |
| Luke Andersen | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 10.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 1.8% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 14.7% | 13.9% | 12.1% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Dylan Finestone | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 16.3% | 6.8% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.8% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 14.9% | 12.9% | 5.3% |
| Mason Sheen | 0.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 13.1% | 64.2% |
| Brendan Read | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.