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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.90+5.66vs Predicted
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2Boston University2.01+7.80vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.19+2.82vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.76+3.43vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.01+1.44vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.69+4.98vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.37-1.67vs Predicted
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8Harvard University3.20-2.35vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+1.23vs Predicted
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101.52+1.54vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.45-2.65vs Predicted
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12Eckerd College2.80-4.84vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.37-4.39vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.77-3.34vs Predicted
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15Washington College0.18-0.43vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.90-9.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.66Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.8Boston University2.010.0%1st Place
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5.82Boston College3.190.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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6.44Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.98University of California at Santa Barbara1.690.0%1st Place
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5.33Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.370.1%1st Place
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5.65Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.23Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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11.541.520.0%1st Place
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8.35Yale University2.450.1%1st Place
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7.16Eckerd College2.800.1%1st Place
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8.61Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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10.66University of Vermont1.770.0%1st Place
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14.57Washington College0.180.0%1st Place
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6.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.900.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Moody | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Joseph Benoit | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 11.0% | 9.2% | 4.2% |
| Maxwell Simmons | 12.1% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Read | 5.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 5.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dylan Finestone | 2.3% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 16.7% | 8.4% |
| Trevor Long | 13.7% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 11.2% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 5.5% |
| Ben Brown | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 15.7% | 19.0% | 9.2% |
| Eric Anderson | 7.1% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 1.0% |
| Jason D'Agostino | 7.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Luke Andersen | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 1.5% |
| Vincent Yannelli | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.5% | 15.3% | 13.0% | 5.4% |
| Mason Sheen | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 13.3% | 63.3% |
| Austin Lettengarver | 7.8% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.