Race 1B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Quinn Andersen 11.3% 11.3% 11.3% 10.5% 11.1% 8.1% 9.8% 6.9% 6.8% 5.5% 3.6% 2.2% 0.6% 0.7% 0.3%
Charles Skoda 2.6% 4.1% 3.9% 4.0% 4.3% 6.2% 7.3% 7.1% 8.5% 9.6% 9.9% 11.0% 11.4% 7.6% 2.5%
Thomas Balk 8.6% 9.1% 7.8% 9.4% 8.2% 9.6% 9.6% 9.5% 9.1% 6.5% 5.8% 4.3% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Matthew Gibbs 10.2% 10.2% 8.7% 9.1% 9.9% 9.4% 8.8% 8.7% 8.3% 6.9% 4.2% 3.0% 1.6% 0.6% 0.4%
Adam Brodheim 3.1% 3.6% 3.4% 4.2% 4.5% 4.7% 5.2% 5.7% 7.7% 9.1% 9.8% 12.6% 11.3% 12.0% 3.1%
Alexander Tong 17.6% 16.9% 15.6% 12.5% 11.7% 9.1% 5.4% 5.3% 2.7% 2.1% 0.6% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
August Sturm 14.5% 12.8% 13.1% 12.0% 11.5% 9.4% 8.2% 6.2% 4.4% 3.6% 2.7% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Arthur Milot 1.9% 2.0% 2.2% 2.1% 4.3% 3.5% 3.5% 5.6% 5.2% 7.0% 8.6% 11.9% 15.8% 18.1% 8.3%
Joseph Chamberlin 2.9% 2.4% 3.4% 3.8% 4.6% 5.2% 6.3% 8.2% 9.2% 8.9% 11.9% 10.3% 10.8% 10.1% 2.0%
George Luber 2.2% 2.3% 2.0% 2.9% 4.0% 4.5% 5.9% 5.8% 6.3% 8.9% 9.9% 11.5% 15.3% 14.3% 4.2%
Simon Bertocci 3.0% 2.8% 3.9% 5.3% 4.4% 5.6% 6.3% 7.1% 8.9% 9.9% 9.6% 10.3% 9.3% 9.9% 3.7%
Peter Lynn 12.1% 12.0% 12.2% 12.3% 8.0% 10.4% 9.5% 7.3% 6.6% 4.5% 3.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1%
Paul Hart 2.3% 2.2% 3.0% 3.8% 3.1% 3.9% 4.5% 6.0% 6.7% 6.9% 11.5% 12.5% 14.5% 14.5% 4.6%
Samuel Normington 7.2% 8.2% 8.8% 7.4% 10.1% 9.9% 8.6% 9.4% 8.1% 9.1% 5.4% 4.2% 2.5% 0.9% 0.2%
Alexie Lessing 0.5% 0.1% 0.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.5% 1.1% 1.2% 1.5% 1.5% 3.5% 3.4% 4.0% 10.4% 70.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.