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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.42+3.20vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University0.97+3.49vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+2.29vs Predicted
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4McGill University0.41+0.66vs Predicted
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5Brandeis University-0.66+2.30vs Predicted
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6Middlebury College0.03-0.72vs Predicted
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7Olin College of Engineering0.22-2.16vs Predicted
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8Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31+0.86vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.78-1.23vs Predicted
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10Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.70-0.29vs Predicted
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11University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-3.11vs Predicted
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12Bates College-0.70-5.31vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Fairfield University0.4218.1%1st Place
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5.49Salve Regina University0.978.8%1st Place
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5.29University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0211.0%1st Place
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4.66McGill University0.4113.8%1st Place
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7.3Brandeis University-0.665.3%1st Place
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5.28Middlebury College0.0310.8%1st Place
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4.84Olin College of Engineering0.2212.8%1st Place
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8.86Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.312.9%1st Place
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7.77Bentley University-0.783.9%1st Place
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9.71Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.702.2%1st Place
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7.89University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.973.9%1st Place
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6.69Bates College-0.706.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 18.1% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 8.8% | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.4% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.1% | 1.4% |
| William Delong | 11.0% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Genevieve Lau | 13.8% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Myles Hazen | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 7.8% |
| Walter Chiles | 10.8% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| James Jagielski | 12.8% | 12.3% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Jackson Harney | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 23.7% |
| Andrew Blagden | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 14.1% | 14.6% | 9.2% |
| Alexander Tucker | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 10.9% | 19.1% | 38.2% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 14.0% | 11.9% |
| Colby Green | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.