Race 5B

george-morris

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Alexander Tong 19.9% 18.4% 12.4% 10.3% 11.8% 8.4% 6.6% 4.0% 3.1% 2.2% 1.7% 0.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1%
Peter Lynn 13.1% 14.0% 10.9% 12.0% 11.0% 9.2% 7.9% 7.6% 4.3% 4.1% 3.0% 1.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.0%
George Luber 2.6% 2.4% 2.9% 3.6% 3.5% 4.6% 5.5% 4.4% 6.2% 7.3% 8.7% 11.2% 9.8% 14.2% 13.1%
Matthew Gibbs 8.6% 10.2% 9.7% 9.1% 10.4% 8.1% 9.0% 8.6% 7.5% 7.0% 4.9% 3.5% 1.8% 1.1% 0.5%
John Reyes 3.8% 3.2% 3.4% 4.9% 4.3% 5.3% 5.4% 6.6% 6.2% 8.0% 9.4% 10.5% 11.1% 9.0% 8.9%
Samuel Normington 6.3% 8.1% 7.3% 7.9% 8.9% 8.2% 9.1% 9.8% 9.6% 8.2% 7.3% 4.2% 2.9% 1.8% 0.4%
August Sturm 13.4% 12.4% 14.4% 12.0% 10.6% 9.9% 7.4% 6.0% 4.9% 3.2% 2.7% 2.2% 0.5% 0.4% 0.0%
Franco Bilik 10.6% 8.6% 13.6% 9.6% 8.4% 9.7% 7.9% 8.4% 8.1% 5.8% 4.2% 2.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.2%
Adam Brodheim 2.2% 2.3% 3.0% 4.5% 3.9% 4.7% 6.6% 6.4% 7.0% 10.1% 8.7% 10.9% 9.8% 11.6% 8.3%
Paul Hart 2.5% 2.1% 2.6% 2.2% 4.2% 4.4% 4.3% 5.3% 7.5% 7.9% 9.4% 10.2% 10.5% 13.6% 13.3%
Charles Skoda 2.9% 3.7% 3.0% 4.6% 4.2% 4.9% 6.9% 6.4% 8.0% 8.1% 8.7% 8.5% 10.0% 9.8% 10.3%
Thomas Balk 7.3% 6.3% 7.6% 9.3% 9.3% 9.8% 7.7% 9.1% 9.2% 7.1% 5.9% 5.5% 4.0% 1.4% 0.5%
Arthur Milot 1.5% 1.8% 2.3% 2.9% 2.2% 3.3% 3.3% 4.3% 4.1% 6.6% 8.9% 7.8% 12.2% 15.1% 23.7%
Alexander Baskin 2.4% 2.1% 3.2% 3.8% 2.8% 4.2% 6.2% 6.0% 6.8% 6.9% 7.9% 10.0% 13.0% 11.8% 12.9%
Simon Bertocci 2.9% 4.4% 3.7% 3.3% 4.5% 5.3% 6.2% 7.1% 7.5% 7.5% 8.6% 10.6% 11.8% 8.8% 7.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.