Race 1A

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matt Cappetta 18.1% 19.2% 17.8% 20.5% 12.7% 6.4% 3.4% 1.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 30.4% 28.4% 19.1% 11.3% 7.2% 2.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Nothacker 8.7% 8.2% 15.4% 14.7% 15.1% 14.1% 12.1% 6.6% 2.9% 1.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Jackson McCoy 28.1% 26.3% 19.3% 13.1% 8.1% 3.2% 1.3% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Daley 1.9% 2.6% 4.7% 5.1% 8.9% 10.5% 10.7% 12.2% 11.7% 13.6% 9.4% 8.7%
James Gilmore III 2.5% 3.3% 5.0% 6.1% 9.3% 10.4% 13.3% 12.8% 14.6% 9.3% 8.2% 5.2%
Brian Reilly 1.7% 2.0% 2.3% 3.2% 4.7% 8.6% 8.5% 10.5% 12.7% 12.5% 15.8% 17.5%
Brendan Brown-McCue 1.3% 1.5% 2.2% 4.5% 4.4% 5.9% 8.6% 9.1% 10.6% 13.7% 17.3% 20.9%
Matthew Orgill 2.9% 3.0% 5.1% 8.8% 12.7% 13.0% 15.1% 11.9% 10.8% 8.5% 5.8% 2.4%
Haley Clemson 0.9% 1.3% 2.3% 3.7% 3.2% 5.6% 5.8% 8.8% 10.3% 12.5% 18.1% 27.5%
Michael Danko 2.0% 1.8% 2.8% 5.1% 6.9% 10.4% 10.1% 12.8% 13.1% 14.1% 12.0% 8.9%
Nicholas Houchois 1.5% 2.4% 4.0% 3.9% 6.8% 9.3% 10.4% 13.2% 12.9% 14.1% 12.6% 8.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.