Race 2A

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Matt Cappetta 18.9% 16.8% 22.4% 17.3% 13.2% 6.5% 3.3% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Jackson McCoy 28.1% 26.1% 20.3% 12.6% 7.8% 3.9% 0.9% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 30.5% 27.4% 18.7% 12.4% 6.5% 3.1% 1.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Nothacker 7.2% 9.9% 11.7% 17.7% 15.9% 15.1% 10.9% 5.6% 3.2% 2.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Michael Danko 1.6% 2.6% 3.9% 5.5% 7.2% 8.9% 11.6% 11.7% 13.2% 12.7% 12.0% 9.1%
Brian Daley 2.2% 2.6% 3.4% 7.0% 6.6% 10.5% 9.5% 12.4% 14.9% 13.4% 10.9% 6.6%
Matthew Orgill 3.5% 3.8% 5.2% 9.0% 11.1% 12.1% 14.3% 14.5% 9.1% 8.0% 6.0% 3.4%
Nicholas Houchois 1.9% 2.8% 4.2% 4.9% 7.1% 8.7% 12.2% 11.8% 12.5% 11.5% 12.7% 9.7%
Brendan Brown-McCue 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 2.3% 5.7% 6.2% 9.9% 9.8% 12.0% 14.3% 16.5% 19.0%
Brian Reilly 1.3% 1.7% 3.1% 3.6% 5.5% 6.7% 8.4% 9.6% 12.6% 14.6% 14.9% 18.0%
Haley Clemson 1.4% 0.7% 1.6% 1.8% 4.1% 5.0% 7.4% 7.3% 11.2% 11.0% 18.8% 29.7%
James Gilmore III 2.3% 3.8% 4.1% 5.9% 9.3% 13.3% 10.6% 15.9% 10.7% 12.1% 7.7% 4.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.