Race 3A

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Bryce Kopp 30.9% 25.3% 20.7% 13.0% 5.8% 2.6% 1.2% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Cappetta 18.3% 20.1% 20.0% 16.2% 12.7% 7.7% 3.4% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson McCoy 28.2% 25.4% 19.6% 12.8% 9.0% 3.1% 1.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Nothacker 7.1% 10.1% 12.4% 17.8% 15.0% 15.6% 10.7% 5.8% 3.1% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Michael Danko 1.7% 2.0% 4.4% 5.7% 7.5% 8.7% 11.2% 11.1% 13.4% 13.6% 10.7% 10.0%
Brian Daley 2.2% 2.3% 3.8% 5.8% 8.1% 9.9% 10.7% 12.2% 13.4% 14.1% 11.0% 6.5%
Matthew Orgill 3.7% 4.2% 4.6% 9.9% 11.3% 11.8% 14.3% 13.9% 8.1% 9.4% 5.1% 3.7%
Brian Reilly 1.0% 1.9% 2.8% 4.5% 4.9% 6.6% 9.4% 9.7% 11.9% 14.2% 16.6% 16.5%
Nicholas Houchois 1.9% 2.0% 3.1% 4.1% 8.2% 10.4% 11.4% 13.5% 14.0% 10.8% 12.0% 8.6%
James Gilmore III 2.7% 4.4% 4.4% 4.9% 10.4% 12.5% 12.3% 13.5% 12.4% 10.3% 7.7% 4.5%
Haley Clemson 1.3% 0.9% 1.6% 1.8% 3.5% 6.1% 6.5% 7.6% 10.8% 12.7% 18.8% 28.4%
Brendan Brown-McCue 1.0% 1.4% 2.6% 3.5% 3.6% 5.0% 7.4% 10.8% 12.3% 13.5% 17.4% 21.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.