Race 4A

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

58.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
John Nothacker 7.5% 10.6% 10.4% 15.3% 19.2% 15.4% 9.0% 5.9% 3.4% 2.6% 0.6% 0.1%
Jackson McCoy 27.2% 27.1% 21.4% 13.0% 7.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Daley 2.3% 2.7% 3.8% 5.4% 7.9% 8.9% 11.8% 12.2% 14.4% 13.0% 10.2% 7.4%
Bryce Kopp 30.9% 24.6% 19.3% 15.4% 5.3% 2.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Cappetta 18.7% 17.4% 22.8% 17.0% 10.7% 6.7% 4.2% 1.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Michael Danko 1.6% 2.7% 4.0% 6.4% 6.6% 8.9% 10.3% 12.3% 12.4% 13.2% 13.2% 8.4%
Brendan Brown-McCue 2.0% 1.2% 2.7% 3.4% 4.9% 7.0% 7.6% 9.8% 11.1% 13.8% 16.9% 19.6%
Haley Clemson 0.6% 1.5% 1.8% 3.5% 5.1% 6.3% 6.1% 7.7% 8.7% 12.7% 17.4% 28.6%
Nicholas Houchois 1.7% 2.3% 3.0% 4.8% 7.2% 10.1% 13.1% 14.0% 12.2% 11.0% 11.9% 8.7%
Matthew Orgill 3.0% 4.7% 5.5% 7.4% 10.6% 12.8% 14.2% 13.0% 10.7% 9.0% 5.5% 3.6%
Brian Reilly 1.6% 1.6% 1.6% 2.9% 5.5% 6.3% 8.7% 9.1% 13.0% 12.9% 17.6% 19.2%
James Gilmore III 2.9% 3.6% 3.7% 5.5% 9.8% 12.3% 12.6% 13.9% 13.0% 11.6% 6.7% 4.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.