Race 5A

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

75.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Bryce Kopp 30.0% 25.9% 21.0% 12.6% 7.0% 2.0% 1.0% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Cappetta 17.1% 20.5% 22.9% 15.9% 11.3% 7.7% 3.1% 1.0% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Nothacker 9.4% 7.8% 12.9% 16.1% 16.2% 14.2% 12.5% 5.9% 3.3% 1.3% 0.2% 0.2%
Jackson McCoy 27.8% 26.8% 17.9% 15.1% 6.7% 3.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matthew Orgill 3.1% 3.6% 5.1% 9.3% 11.1% 10.8% 14.0% 12.6% 11.8% 9.5% 5.6% 3.5%
Haley Clemson 1.3% 0.9% 1.6% 2.7% 5.2% 4.6% 6.3% 8.7% 9.1% 12.9% 19.5% 27.2%
Michael Danko 1.9% 3.6% 3.4% 3.9% 9.0% 10.1% 9.6% 13.8% 13.3% 10.4% 11.2% 9.8%
Brian Daley 2.1% 2.6% 4.8% 5.8% 7.2% 10.8% 11.8% 11.7% 12.4% 13.6% 9.6% 7.6%
Nicholas Houchois 1.6% 2.4% 2.4% 5.0% 7.3% 12.0% 11.3% 12.3% 13.8% 12.8% 10.4% 8.7%
Brendan Brown-McCue 1.0% 1.4% 3.0% 4.0% 4.2% 6.5% 7.5% 8.3% 12.3% 13.7% 18.6% 19.5%
Brian Reilly 2.0% 1.0% 1.4% 3.7% 4.0% 7.7% 7.3% 12.0% 10.1% 14.4% 17.0% 19.4%
James Gilmore III 2.7% 3.5% 3.6% 5.9% 10.8% 9.9% 14.3% 12.6% 13.3% 11.4% 7.9% 4.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.