Race 6A

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Bryce Kopp 30.3% 26.5% 19.4% 13.5% 6.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson McCoy 28.1% 27.0% 20.1% 12.5% 7.1% 3.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Nothacker 8.6% 8.3% 13.6% 16.0% 15.8% 16.1% 9.6% 6.3% 3.9% 1.1% 0.4% 0.3%
Brian Reilly 0.8% 1.5% 2.8% 3.1% 5.3% 6.3% 9.5% 10.5% 12.7% 11.8% 16.5% 19.2%
Matt Cappetta 17.6% 20.3% 21.2% 16.9% 12.0% 6.3% 3.2% 1.8% 0.7% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brian Daley 1.9% 2.4% 4.0% 7.3% 7.5% 8.4% 10.3% 13.6% 14.1% 11.8% 11.1% 7.6%
Haley Clemson 1.7% 0.8% 1.9% 2.8% 4.0% 6.8% 6.8% 7.2% 11.3% 12.4% 17.1% 27.2%
Nicholas Houchois 1.9% 2.7% 3.9% 5.7% 7.5% 8.1% 11.4% 12.1% 10.1% 15.6% 12.4% 8.6%
Michael Danko 2.4% 2.0% 3.0% 5.0% 8.9% 8.6% 13.6% 12.6% 12.8% 13.3% 10.7% 7.1%
Brendan Brown-McCue 1.1% 1.2% 2.3% 4.3% 4.1% 7.2% 7.9% 9.0% 10.6% 13.0% 17.6% 21.7%
James Gilmore III 2.5% 2.9% 3.6% 6.2% 9.7% 12.5% 12.1% 12.6% 11.7% 12.4% 8.7% 5.1%
Matthew Orgill 3.1% 4.4% 4.2% 6.7% 11.8% 13.8% 13.4% 13.4% 12.0% 8.5% 5.5% 3.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.