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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.52+8.85vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+8.01vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.50+6.98vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80+4.41vs Predicted
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5Harvard University3.67+3.94vs Predicted
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6Tufts University3.29+4.71vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.08+4.55vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.76+0.57vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.68-0.03vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University3.76-1.10vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University4.51-5.19vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.53-2.02vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii3.36-2.82vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston4.61-8.84vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.48-5.21vs Predicted
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16Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.60-6.57vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-6.32vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan2.35-3.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.85Brown University3.520.0%1st Place
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10.01Boston College3.500.0%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Naval Academy3.500.0%1st Place
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8.41St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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8.94Harvard University3.670.1%1st Place
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10.71Tufts University3.290.0%1st Place
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11.55Stanford University3.080.0%1st Place
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8.57Dartmouth College3.760.1%1st Place
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8.97Connecticut College3.680.0%1st Place
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8.9Old Dominion University3.760.1%1st Place
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5.81Georgetown University4.510.1%1st Place
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9.98Yale University3.530.0%1st Place
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10.18University of Hawaii3.360.0%1st Place
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5.16College of Charleston4.610.1%1st Place
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9.79St. Mary's College of Maryland3.480.0%1st Place
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9.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.600.0%1st Place
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10.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.0%1st Place
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14.09University of Michigan2.350.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte Lipschitz | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Emily Maxwell | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Christina Pryne | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.4% |
| Megan Magill | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 2.0% |
| Emily Lambert | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Catherine Swanson | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.8% |
| Eliza Richartz | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.9% | 9.9% |
| Rebecca Dellenbaugh | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Maggie Shea | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Stephanie Roble | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.3% |
| Sydney Bolger | 12.7% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Lihan | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| Hannah Tuson-Turner | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% |
| Allison Blecher | 14.6% | 16.0% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Mayumi Roller | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Caroline Patten | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.3% |
| Christina Baker | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 14.4% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.