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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.87+4.81vs Predicted
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2University of Wisconsin4.10+3.10vs Predicted
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3University of Florida2.84+6.59vs Predicted
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4Boston University4.07+1.41vs Predicted
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5Fordham University2.73+4.87vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.32+5.68vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.11+1.70vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.30-0.21vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University2.92+0.57vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy4.09-4.76vs Predicted
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11St. Mary's College of Maryland4.03-5.35vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.06-3.17vs Predicted
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13Columbia University2.87-3.31vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut1.53-0.08vs Predicted
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15McGill University1.53-1.17vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University3.07-7.07vs Predicted
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17Princeton University1.74-3.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.81Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.870.1%1st Place
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5.1University of Wisconsin4.100.1%1st Place
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9.59University of Florida2.840.0%1st Place
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5.41Boston University4.070.1%1st Place
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9.87Fordham University2.730.0%1st Place
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11.68Cornell University2.320.0%1st Place
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8.7University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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7.79U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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9.57Old Dominion University2.920.0%1st Place
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5.24U. S. Naval Academy4.090.1%1st Place
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5.65St. Mary's College of Maryland4.030.1%1st Place
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8.83SUNY Maritime College3.060.0%1st Place
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9.69Columbia University2.870.0%1st Place
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13.92University of Connecticut1.530.0%1st Place
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13.83McGill University1.530.0%1st Place
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8.93Roger Williams University3.070.0%1st Place
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13.41Princeton University1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Austen Anderson | 11.7% | 12.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph Kutschenreuter | 13.3% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Famiglietti | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.4% |
| Ben Greenfield | 11.8% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Sachs | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Blair Davis | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.8% | 12.6% | 7.8% |
| Quentin Chafee | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Nick Aswad | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Zach Runci | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% |
| Clark Hayes | 13.0% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Fletcher Sims | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Steel | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 4.5% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Brendan Hannon | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Colin Silveno | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 12.5% | 21.4% | 28.5% |
| Mark Abraao York | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 19.5% | 28.4% |
| George Saunders | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% |
| John Marzulli | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 14.3% | 17.7% | 23.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.