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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fairfield University0.42+3.20vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.22+2.77vs Predicted
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3University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.02+2.40vs Predicted
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4Bates College-0.70+2.76vs Predicted
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5Middlebury College0.03+0.31vs Predicted
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6McGill University0.41-1.40vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University0.97-1.55vs Predicted
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8Brandeis University-0.66-0.72vs Predicted
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9Bentley University-0.78-1.36vs Predicted
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10Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.31-0.93vs Predicted
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11Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.70-1.22vs Predicted
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12University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.97-4.26vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.2Fairfield University0.4217.0%1st Place
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4.77Olin College of Engineering0.2213.8%1st Place
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5.4University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.0210.2%1st Place
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6.76Bates College-0.704.8%1st Place
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5.31Middlebury College0.0310.9%1st Place
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4.6McGill University0.4113.7%1st Place
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5.45Salve Regina University0.9710.1%1st Place
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7.28Brandeis University-0.664.9%1st Place
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7.64Bentley University-0.784.5%1st Place
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9.07Wentworth Institute of Technology-1.313.2%1st Place
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9.78Worcester Polytechnic Institute-1.702.2%1st Place
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7.74University of Massachusetts at Dartmouth-0.974.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nolan Cooper | 17.0% | 15.7% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% |
| James Jagielski | 13.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| William Delong | 10.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Colby Green | 4.8% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 3.9% |
| Walter Chiles | 10.9% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Genevieve Lau | 13.7% | 14.1% | 13.2% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 10.1% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 12.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Myles Hazen | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 6.0% |
| Andrew Blagden | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 13.1% | 13.8% | 8.8% |
| Jackson Harney | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 13.5% | 19.9% | 25.7% |
| Alexander Tucker | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 18.0% | 41.2% |
| Ian McCaffrey | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 13.8% | 10.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.