Race 7A

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Bryce Kopp 30.8% 25.8% 20.9% 12.5% 5.3% 3.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Matt Cappetta 18.6% 19.0% 22.0% 16.0% 11.9% 8.2% 2.8% 1.1% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Jackson McCoy 27.9% 25.8% 20.4% 12.1% 8.5% 3.5% 1.2% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
John Nothacker 7.1% 10.4% 11.6% 18.6% 15.5% 15.1% 9.9% 6.5% 3.3% 1.3% 0.4% 0.3%
Brian Reilly 1.1% 1.7% 2.7% 3.3% 5.1% 7.9% 10.1% 9.8% 11.1% 12.4% 17.1% 17.7%
James Gilmore III 2.8% 3.1% 4.0% 8.6% 7.2% 11.7% 12.0% 13.9% 13.0% 11.5% 8.9% 3.3%
Brendan Brown-McCue 1.6% 1.3% 2.9% 3.6% 4.8% 6.9% 8.1% 9.1% 12.6% 14.9% 16.5% 17.7%
Michael Danko 1.8% 3.1% 3.7% 4.6% 9.2% 8.4% 11.5% 11.7% 13.2% 13.0% 11.7% 8.1%
Nicholas Houchois 2.1% 1.7% 3.4% 4.3% 8.6% 8.8% 13.2% 13.4% 14.6% 11.1% 11.4% 7.4%
Matthew Orgill 3.1% 5.4% 4.2% 8.2% 11.1% 13.1% 14.4% 12.6% 11.1% 8.8% 5.4% 2.6%
Lillian Vincens 2.3% 1.8% 3.2% 6.1% 9.6% 9.1% 11.2% 14.2% 11.3% 15.5% 9.1% 6.6%
Abigail Proko 0.8% 0.9% 1.0% 2.1% 3.2% 4.0% 4.7% 6.9% 9.2% 11.4% 19.5% 36.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.