Race 8A

greater-new-york-dinghy

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
Jackson McCoy 26.9% 25.8% 21.2% 12.4% 8.3% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Bryce Kopp 31.5% 27.7% 18.1% 11.5% 7.6% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
John Nothacker 8.4% 9.0% 12.1% 17.5% 16.2% 14.8% 10.6% 6.7% 2.5% 1.9% 0.1% 0.2%
Michael Danko 1.0% 3.3% 2.8% 4.8% 8.0% 9.9% 12.1% 12.9% 10.8% 12.8% 12.2% 9.4%
Matt Cappetta 18.2% 19.5% 20.1% 19.0% 10.4% 6.2% 4.3% 1.1% 0.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Lillian Vincens 2.0% 2.4% 4.5% 6.8% 7.4% 10.0% 11.1% 13.8% 13.2% 11.8% 10.4% 6.6%
Brendan Brown-McCue 1.9% 1.4% 2.1% 3.2% 4.8% 8.1% 8.6% 8.3% 10.2% 14.3% 16.5% 20.6%
James Gilmore III 2.6% 3.2% 5.4% 7.0% 9.4% 11.6% 12.5% 12.3% 13.3% 9.7% 8.2% 4.8%
Brian Reilly 1.5% 1.4% 1.9% 3.5% 5.2% 7.9% 9.3% 9.6% 12.4% 15.6% 16.0% 15.7%
Nicholas Houchois 1.7% 1.6% 5.4% 3.7% 7.5% 9.7% 10.2% 12.2% 13.5% 11.9% 13.6% 9.0%
Matthew Orgill 3.2% 3.2% 4.9% 7.2% 12.2% 12.0% 12.4% 13.7% 11.8% 9.7% 5.4% 4.3%
Haley Clemson 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 3.4% 3.0% 4.0% 6.6% 8.9% 11.2% 11.8% 17.6% 29.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.